1. Warning Sign: Democrat primary turnout (527,728) was the highest in past 12 years, higher than 2016 AND 2008! - 143.1% of 2016 Democrat primary turnout - 61.7% of 2016 and 69.6% of 2018 Democrat general election turnouts 2. I am very suspicious about Democrat voter registration drives. Although I can't prove it, there's circumstantial statistical evidence to suggest that, especially in the black community, Democrats vote Democrat for registered poorer black voters who are too busy surviving and have not actually voted. The high turnouts are simply inconsistent with the absurdly low enthusiasm such as abysmally small size of "rallies". On the other hand, it could also have been Trump supporters causing trouble in the open South Carolina primary based on instructions received at the Trump rally! 3. More confirmation that MSM polls are complete garbage. The science of statistical sampling using relatively small samples of a much larger "population" of something, is very solid and accurate. But the scientific method is only as good or bad as the human being using or misusing it. The reason why MSM polling firms are often wildly wrong is that they rig the samples to fit the required media narratives. This is statistical butchery because the sampling is supposed to be RANDOM! RCP Poll Average versus Primary Results (-/+): Biden: RCP: 39.7% Primary Election: 48.5% Difference: +8.8% Sanders: RCP: 24.3% Primary Election: 19.9% Difference: -4.4% Steyer: RCP: 11.7% Primary Election: 11.3%, Difference: -0.4% Buttigieg: RCP: 11.3% Primary Election: 8.2%, Difference: -3.1% Warren: RCP: 6.0% Primary Election: 7.1% Difference: +1.1% Sources:
2020: Dem: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_of_the_2020_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries GOP: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_of_the_2020_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers): https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1234020573568782337?s=20 2018: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_South Carolina 2016: Dem: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_of_the_2016_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries GOP: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_of_the_2016_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries 2012: Dem: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries GOP: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_of_the_2012_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries 2008: Dem: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_vote_count.html GOP: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_of_the_2008_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries
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